2014: Among the 3 percent Coldest Years in 10,000 years?

Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:

Guest Opinion: Dr. Tim Ball

We were told in October, before 2014 was over, that it was heading toward being the warmest year on record (Figure 1). The visual link of Polar Bears underscored the message. In fact, 2014 was among the coldest 3 percent of years of the last 10,000, but that doesn’t suit the political agenda.


Figure 1

We know the headline referred to NOAA’s projection, but the public only remember “warmest year”. It is a routine of manipulation of headlines practiced by bureaucrats and supporters of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPPC), from the start. The claim was not surprising, because NOAA was pushing 2014 as warm beginning in January with this headline NOAA: January 2014 fourth-warmest on record.” Various months were identified during the year, for example, “NOAA: August 2014 Was The Warmest On Record,” noting August was the warmest by a fraction. But…

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Steve Jobs Interview – Playboy – 1985

Jobs: The most compelling reason for most people to buy a computer for the home will be to link it into a nationwide communications network. We’re just in the beginning stages of what will be a truly remarkable breakthrough for most people—as remarkable as the telephone.

via Longform Reprints: Playboy Interview: Steve Jobs by David Sheff.

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Peer-reviewed pocket-calculator climate model exposes serious errors in complex computer models and reveals that Man’s influence on the climate is negligible

Brad S.:


Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:

What went wrong?

A major peer-reviewed climate physics paper in the first issue (January 2015: vol. 60 no. 1) of the prestigious Science Bulletin (formerly Chinese Science Bulletin), the journal of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and, as the Orient’s equivalent of Science or Nature, one of the world’s top six learned journals of science, exposes elementary but serious errors in the general-circulation models relied on by the UN’s climate panel, the IPCC. The errors were the reason for concern about Man’s effect on climate. Without them, there is no climate crisis.

Thanks to the generosity of the Heartland Institute, the paper is open-access. It may be downloaded free from http://www.scibull.com:8080/EN/abstract/abstract509579.shtml. Click on “PDF” just above the abstract.

The IPCC has long predicted that doubling the CO2 in the air might eventually warm the Earth by 3.3 C°. However, the new, simple model presented in the

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Sugar Content of Fermented Beverages

English: Mature Kombucha

English: Mature Kombucha (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

I have been brewing my own kombucha at home for a few years now, and have had some great results (and some not so great)! I’m now about to turn it into a science, and here are some instructions on some methods for measuring residual sugars using a hydrometer.

Sugar Content of Fermented Beverages.

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Charlie Hebdo, Climate Skepticism & Free Speech

Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:

Climate Extremism & The Chilling Effect On Free Speech

From the GWPF and Dr. Benny Peiser

At the end of that process, some Global Warming deniers would never admit their mistake and as a result they would be executed. Perhaps that would be the only way to stop the rest of them. The death penalty would have been justified in terms of the enormous numbers of saved future lives. — Professor Richard Parncutt, University of Graz, Austria, 25 October 2012

As I read the grim headlines from Paris, I was reminded of another encounter in another European city, Berlin, specifically at the Opernplatz where the Nazis staged one of their most infamous book burnings in 1933. One of the authors whose works they incinerated was the great German poet, Heinrich Heine, whose epigraph now lines a memorial marking this historically ominous event: “That was but a prelude; where they burn…

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The Great Pause lengthens again

Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:

Global temperature update: the Pause is now 18 years 3 months

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

Since October 1996 there has been no global warming at all (Fig. 1). This month’s RSS [1] temperature plot pushes up the period without any global warming from 18 years 2 months to 18 years 3 months.


Figure 1. The least-squares linear-regression trend on the RSS satellite monthly global mean surface temperature anomaly dataset shows no global warming for 18 years 3 months since October 1996.

The hiatus period of 18 years 3 months, or 219 months, is the farthest back one can go in the RSS satellite temperature record and still show a sub-zero trend.

As the Pope unwisely prepares to abandon forever the political neutrality that his office enjoins upon him, and to put his signature to a climate-Communist encyclical largely drafted by the radical Prefect of the Pontifical Academy of Sciences…

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According to new research from the MELISA Institute, since Chile’s ban on abortion, not only has maternal health improved but the number of women seeking illegal abortion has plummeted!

PERSONHOOD — This Country Banned Abortion and Now, Abortion….

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January 2, 2015 · 9:48 pm

Finally, a concise presentation of what the Koch Brothers really stand for.

The Koch Brothers: True Blue Libertarians – By Jeff Moore.

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January 2, 2015 · 9:58 am

Are 97% of the poorest counties really Republican?

Brad S.:

Reposting to have this as a handy reference, but not particularly relevant. Why? Because both parties are bankrupting America.

Originally posted on Rare:

It’s common to hear conservatives point to impoverished cities that have long been under Democratic control as a testament to the failure of liberal policies. Likewise, liberals point to impoverished Southern states under Republican leadership as evidence of the failure of conservative policies.

The smallest level we can analyze a population and their political leanings in the U.S. is at the county-by-county level. The claim I’d like to explore here is that 97% of the poorest 100 counties are in Republican States, a claim which apparently originated from a political group called “Occupy Democrats.”

Before diving into the claim, it’s worth reviewing a few ways that statistics can mislead. I’ve recently been reading the fascinating book “Naked Statistics” by Charles Wheelan, which provides a few good examples.

Seemingly contradictory statistics can be reconciled based on what unit of analysis of used. The statements “60% of our schools had…

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The Pride of the State

1713 Edition

1713 Edition (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

“Plays, farces, spectacles, gladiators, strange beasts, medals, pictures, and other such opiates, these were for ancient peoples the bait toward slavery, the price of their liberty, the instruments of tyranny. By these practices and enticements the ancient dictators so successfully lulled their subjects under the yoke, that the stupefied peoples, fascinated by the pastimes and vain pleasures flashed before their eyes, learned subservience as naively, but not so creditably, as little children learn to read by looking at bright picture books. Roman tyrants invented a further refinement. They often provided the city wards with feasts to cajole the rabble, always more readily tempted by the pleasure of eating than by anything else. The most intelligent and understanding amongst them would not have quit his soup bowl to recover the liberty of the Republic of Plato. Tyrants would distribute largess, a bushel of wheat, a gallon of wine, and a sesterce: and then everybody would shamelessly cry, ‘Long live the King!’ The fools did not realize that they were merely recovering a portion of their own property, and that their ruler could not have given them what they were receiving without having first taken it from them.” – Etienne de La Boétie – Discourse on Voluntary Servitude 1548

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